Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 18.177998 20.753123 23.690927 27.318271 31.715017 36.921646 43.628967
2025-08-03 15.187954 18.502467 22.633385 28.260426 35.887872 46.117157 61.328152
2025-08-10 13.023425 16.521071 21.132252 27.834724 37.647911 52.048834 75.957899
2025-08-17 11.504929 15.052278 19.936583 27.411582 39.069342 57.539155 91.372285
2025-08-24 10.409339 13.973104 19.062574 27.204613 40.630946 63.442326 109.333990
2025-08-31 9.399471 12.876760 17.989894 26.470522 41.120226 67.546658 125.348913
2025-09-07 8.670144 12.102154 17.287353 26.185420 42.259001 73.021462 146.338628
2025-09-14 7.841768 11.093952 16.104609 24.920248 41.384155 74.347086 158.412273
2025-09-21 7.112298 10.174513 14.969976 23.585787 40.139767 74.606423 167.988536
2025-09-28 6.597302 9.548972 14.251681 22.892279 40.011854 77.227701 185.220082
2025-10-05 6.809949 10.095913 15.520707 25.967157 48.071252 100.919769 280.735131
2025-10-12 6.639401 9.997626 15.672446 26.948167 51.903856 115.729922 360.571792
2025-10-19 6.194096 9.421610 14.958918 26.190810 51.808941 120.430472 407.353714
2025-10-26 6.020904 9.297015 15.047132 27.081945 55.836862 138.716398 538.767154
2025-11-02 5.693602 8.878533 14.552922 26.679430 56.578840 147.260340 633.649279
2025-11-09 5.397631 8.494046 14.088102 26.279234 57.250755 155.953393 745.417001
2025-11-16 5.152350 8.183046 13.736294 26.083450 58.440034 167.117910 898.727201
2025-11-23 4.871509 7.789781 13.193324 25.388816 58.106468 172.540255 1021.226053
2025-11-30 4.659544 7.509532 12.851045 25.118949 58.954422 183.207210 1224.435907
2025-12-07 4.366347 7.063216 12.146972 23.920759 56.829706 180.599309 1284.426588
2025-12-14 4.086165 6.628228 11.440724 22.655822 54.318011 175.565852 1310.296938
2025-12-21 3.885766 6.333284 11.001287 21.997974 53.591163 178.496266 1454.695988
2025-12-28 4.037448 6.709850 11.964391 24.912313 64.974848 247.238151 3112.986229